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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Jul 29, 2022 at 7.46pm UK
Allianz Arena
DL

1860 Munich
0 - 3
Dortmund


Lannert (12'), Lang (74')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Malen (8'), Bellingham (31'), Adeyemi (35')

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: Newcastle 3-0 1860 Munich
Friday, July 15 at 1.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

We said: 1860 Munich 0-3 Borussia Dortmund

Even without Haller in attack, we cannot see anything beyond a resounding Dortmund victory on Friday. BVB should simply have far too much quality for the hosts to deal with, especially having added Schlotterbeck and Adeyemi at either end of the pitch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 81.24%. A draw had a probability of 11.7% and a win for 1860 Munich had a probability of 7.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-3 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.31%) and 1-3 (8.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.15%), while for a 1860 Munich win it was 2-1 (2.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.

Result
1860 MunichDrawBorussia Dortmund
7.1%11.66%81.24% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Both teams to score 54.68% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
75.13%24.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
55.25% (0.0020000000000024 0)44.75%
1860 Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.32% (0.0019999999999953 0)42.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.98% (0.0010000000000012 0)79.02%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.39% (0.0010000000000048 0)4.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
81.21% (0.00099999999999056 0)18.79%
Score Analysis
    1860 Munich 7.1%
    Borussia Dortmund 81.24%
    Draw 11.66%
1860 MunichDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 2.19%
1-0 @ 1.68%
3-2 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 7.1%
1-1 @ 5.15%
2-2 @ 3.38%
0-0 @ 1.97%
3-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 11.66%
0-3 @ 9.55%
0-2 @ 9.31%
1-3 @ 8.13%
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-4 @ 7.35%
1-4 @ 6.26%
0-1 @ 6.05%
0-5 @ 4.52%
1-5 @ 3.85%
2-3 @ 3.46%
2-4 @ 2.66%
0-6 @ 2.32%
1-6 @ 1.98%
2-5 @ 1.64%
0-7 @ 1.02%
Other @ 5.2%
Total : 81.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Newcastle 3-0 1860 Munich
Friday, July 15 at 1.30pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: 1860 Munich 0-1 Karlsruher
Tuesday, January 18 at 5.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: 1860 Munich 1-0 Schalke
Tuesday, October 26 at 5.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: 1860 Munich 1-1 SV Darmstadt 98 (5-4 pen.)
Friday, August 6 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: 1860 Munich 1-2 Frankfurt
Saturday, September 12 at 2.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: 1860 Munich 1-3 Holstein Kiel
Sunday, August 19 at 5.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: Dortmund 0-2 Villarreal
Friday, July 22 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Dortmund 1-3 Valencia
Monday, July 18 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Verl 0-5 Dortmund
Thursday, July 14 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Dynamo Dresden 0-2 Dortmund
Saturday, July 9 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Luner SV 1-3 Dortmund
Tuesday, July 5 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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