Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 50.07%. A win for Dynamo Dresden had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.34%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Dynamo Dresden win was 2-1 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
0.04) 
-0.05) 
