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Friendlies
Jul 18, 2022 at 6pm UK
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Dortmund
1 - 3
Valencia

Reus (51' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guedes (40', 62'), Maranhao (58')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Borussia Dortmund 3-1 Valencia

This has all the makings of an entertaining match, and we are predicting goals on Monday. Valencia have travelled with a strong squad, but Dortmund are further ahead in their preparations for the new campaign, and we are expecting the Bundesliga side to emerge victorious here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 61.89%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 18.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.6%) and 1-0 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-2 (5%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawValencia
61.89% (-0.424 -0.42) 19.66% (0.113 0.11) 18.45% (0.313 0.31)
Both teams to score 60.51% (0.216 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.16% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)34.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.19% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)56.81% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.14% (-0.108 -0.11)10.87% (0.109 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.02% (-0.24299999999999 -0.24)34.98% (0.24299999999999 0.24)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.89% (0.32299999999999 0.32)32.12% (-0.322 -0.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.41% (0.366 0.37)68.59% (-0.36499999999999 -0.36)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 61.9%
    Valencia 18.45%
    Draw 19.66%
Borussia DortmundDrawValencia
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 8.6% (-0.077 -0.08)
1-0 @ 7.75% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.22% (-0.034 -0.03)
3-0 @ 6.36% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-2 @ 4.1% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 4.01% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.53% (-0.064 -0.06)
4-2 @ 2.28% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-1 @ 1.78% (-0.025 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.57% (-0.036 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 61.9%
1-1 @ 8.8% (0.038 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.55% (0.048 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.55% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 19.66%
1-2 @ 5% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
0-1 @ 3.96% (0.036 0.04)
0-2 @ 2.25% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.1% (0.036 0.04)
1-3 @ 1.89% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 18.45%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Verl 0-5 Dortmund
Thursday, July 14 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Dynamo Dresden 0-2 Dortmund
Saturday, July 9 at 4pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Luner SV 1-3 Dortmund
Tuesday, July 5 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Greuther Furth 1-3 Dortmund
Saturday, May 7 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Dortmund 3-4 VfL Bochum
Saturday, April 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Valencia 2-0 Celta Vigo
Saturday, May 21 at 4.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Espanyol 1-1 Valencia
Saturday, May 14 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 0-3 Real Betis
Tuesday, May 10 at 6pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 0-0 Valencia
Saturday, May 7 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Valencia 1-1 Levante
Saturday, April 30 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Betis 1-1 Valencia (5-4 pen.)
Saturday, April 23 at 9pm in Copa del Rey


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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