While Bayer Leverkusen could concede on Tuesday given their poor defensive record of late, it is difficult to see how Elversberg can topple the Bundesliga champions.
The hosts are still formidable from an offensive perspective, and even if the visitors were to defend deep in their own half, it would not be surprising if Alonso's side won by multiple goals.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 76.07%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Elversberg had a probability of 9.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for a Elversberg win it was 1-2 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
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