SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hertha Berlin win with a probability of 50.63%. A win for Elversberg had a probability of 27.18% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hertha Berlin win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.22%) and 2-0 (6.94%). The likeliest Elversberg win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Elversberg |
50.63% ( 0.26) | 22.19% ( 0.03) | 27.18% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 63.44% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.67% ( -0.39) | 36.33% ( 0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.54% ( -0.43) | 58.46% ( 0.43) |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.36% ( -0.05) | 14.64% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.22% ( -0.1) | 42.78% ( 0.1) |
| Elversberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.32% ( -0.4) | 25.68% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.41% ( -0.55) | 60.59% ( 0.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hertha Berlin | Draw | Elversberg |
| 2-1 @ 9.43% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 6.94% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.9% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.12% ( -0)Other @ 4.32% Total : 50.63% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.34% Total : 22.19% | 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.91% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.39% Total : 27.18% |
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