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Champions League | League Stage
Oct 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
BayArena
ML

B. Leverkusen
vs.
AC Milan

 
Coverage of the Champions League League Stage clash between Bayer Leverkusen and AC Milan.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: AC Milan 3-0 Lecce
Friday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.57%. A win for AC Milan has a probability of 22.31% and a draw has a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (7.93%) and 1-0 (7.7%). The likeliest AC Milan win is 1-2 (5.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.44%).

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawAC Milan
56.57% (0.479 0.48) 21.12% (-0.234 -0.23) 22.31% (-0.241 -0.24)
Both teams to score 61.68% (0.516 0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.8% (0.82700000000001 0.83)36.2% (-0.82400000000001 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.68% (0.9 0.9)58.32% (-0.897 -0.9)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.25% (0.41200000000001 0.41)12.75% (-0.41 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61% (0.843 0.84)39% (-0.841 -0.84)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.69% (0.259 0.26)29.31% (-0.257 -0.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.72% (0.317 0.32)65.28% (-0.31399999999999 -0.31)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 56.58%
    AC Milan 22.31%
    Draw 21.12%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.93% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
1-0 @ 7.7% (-0.195 -0.19)
3-1 @ 6.68% (0.089 0.09)
3-0 @ 5.44% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 4.1% (0.083 0.08)
4-1 @ 3.44% (0.098 0.1)
4-0 @ 2.8% (0.06 0.06)
4-2 @ 2.11% (0.075 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.42% (0.061 0.06)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 56.58%
1-1 @ 9.44% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 5.97% (0.029 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.74% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-3 @ 1.68% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.12%
1-2 @ 5.8% (-0.063 -0.06)
0-1 @ 4.59% (-0.155 -0.16)
0-2 @ 2.81% (-0.075 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.029 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 22.31%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bayern 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-3 Wolfsburg
Sunday, September 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Feyenoord 0-4 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, September 19 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-4 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, August 31 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Carl Zeiss 0-1 B. Leverkusen
Wednesday, August 28 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: AC Milan 3-0 Lecce
Friday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-2 AC Milan
Sunday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-3 Liverpool
Tuesday, September 17 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: AC Milan 4-0 Venezia
Saturday, September 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-2 AC Milan
Saturday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 2-1 AC Milan
Saturday, August 24 at 5.30pm in Serie A


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