MX23RW : Sunday, October 6 05:17:19
SM
Aston Villa vs. Man United: 7 hrs 42 mins
Upcoming predictions and previews
LL
Champions League | League Stage
Oct 1, 2024 at 8pm UK
BayArena
ML

B. Leverkusen
1 - 0
AC Milan

Boniface (51')
Garcia (8'), Frimpong (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Morata (84'), Chukwueze (90+4'), Tomori (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: AC Milan 3-0 Lecce
Friday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Bayer Leverkusen 2-1 AC Milan

While Leverkusen have only failed to score in two of their last 60 matches, Milan's defence is dubious and can be caught out by teams with sufficient quality to punish them. The Italian giants are set to start their campaign with back-to-back defeats, leaving them with some catching up to do later on in the league phase. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 56.65%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 22.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.95%) and 1-0 (7.72%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawAC Milan
56.65% (0.072000000000003 0.07) 21.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 22.24% (-0.07 -0.07)
Both teams to score 61.6% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.74% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)36.26% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.62% (-0.064999999999998 -0.06)58.38% (0.059999999999995 0.06)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.25%12.74% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61% (0.0040000000000049 0)38.99% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.6% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)29.4% (0.088999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.61% (-0.113 -0.11)65.39% (0.108 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 56.65%
    AC Milan 22.24%
    Draw 21.11%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawAC Milan
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.95% (0.024 0.02)
1-0 @ 7.72% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.68% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-0 @ 5.46% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 4.09% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 3.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.81% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 2.11% (-0.004 -0)
5-1 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.004 0)
Other @ 4.07%
Total : 56.65%
1-1 @ 9.45% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 5.96% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 3.75% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.67% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.11%
1-2 @ 5.78% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.59% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 2.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.43% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.36% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 22.24%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bayern 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, September 28 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-3 Wolfsburg
Sunday, September 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Feyenoord 0-4 B. Leverkusen
Thursday, September 19 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hoffenheim 1-4 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, September 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 2-3 RB Leipzig
Saturday, August 31 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Carl Zeiss 0-1 B. Leverkusen
Wednesday, August 28 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: AC Milan 3-0 Lecce
Friday, September 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-2 AC Milan
Sunday, September 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 1-3 Liverpool
Tuesday, September 17 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: AC Milan 4-0 Venezia
Saturday, September 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lazio 2-2 AC Milan
Saturday, August 31 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Parma 2-1 AC Milan
Saturday, August 24 at 5.30pm in Serie A


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
AL
Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!

Loading ...

Failed to load data.



. . . . . . . . . . . . . . .