SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elversberg win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for SSV Ulm had a probability of 33.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elversberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.54%). The likeliest SSV Ulm win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elversberg | Draw | SSV Ulm |
41.93% ( -0.02) | 24.59% ( 0.06) | 33.48% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 58.62% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.71% ( -0.28) | 44.29% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.34% ( -0.27) | 66.66% ( 0.27) |
| Elversberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.81% ( -0.13) | 21.19% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.93% ( -0.2) | 54.07% ( 0.19) |
| SSV Ulm Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.38% ( -0.16) | 25.62% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.49% ( -0.22) | 60.51% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elversberg | Draw | SSV Ulm |
| 2-1 @ 8.9% 1-0 @ 8.42% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.6% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.38% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.64% Total : 41.93% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.07)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.59% | 1-2 @ 7.81% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.39% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.55% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.29% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.52% Total : 33.48% |
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