SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elversberg win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 37.32% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elversberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.23%) and 2-0 (5.21%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elversberg | Draw | Mainz 05 |
39.62% ( 0.12) | 23.06% ( -0.04) | 37.32% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 65.11% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.86% ( 0.2) | 36.13% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.75% ( 0.23) | 58.24% ( -0.23) |
| Elversberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.22% ( 0.14) | 18.78% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.81% ( 0.24) | 50.19% ( -0.24) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.17% ( 0.05) | 19.83% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.09% ( 0.09) | 51.91% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elversberg | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.9% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.59% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.59% Total : 39.62% | 1-1 @ 10.07% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.39% Total : 23.05% | 1-2 @ 8.15% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.03% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.4% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 3.24% Total : 37.32% |
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