SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 65.82%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 16.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.65%) and 3-1 (7.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Mainz 05 |
65.82% ( -0.08) | 18.17% ( 0.04) | 16.01% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 60.81% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.9% ( -0.07) | 32.1% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.32% ( -0.08) | 53.68% ( 0.08) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.86% ( -0.03) | 9.14% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.99% ( -0.09) | 31.01% ( 0.09) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.93% ( 0.01) | 33.07% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.33% ( 0.01) | 69.67% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.65% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.63% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.22% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.53% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.21% ( -0)4-3 @ 0.93% ( -0)Other @ 4.09% Total : 65.82% | 1-1 @ 8% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 18.17% | 1-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.34% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.8% Total : 16.01% |
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