SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wolfsburg win with a probability of 44.84%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 31.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wolfsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Wolfsburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Mainz 05 |
44.84% ( 0.21) | 23.92% ( 0.29) | 31.24% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 60.06% ( -1.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.99% ( -1.62) | 42% ( 1.62) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.59% ( -1.65) | 64.41% ( 1.65) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.03% ( -0.56) | 18.96% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.5% ( -0.95) | 50.49% ( 0.95) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.11% ( -1.1) | 25.89% ( 1.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.13% ( -1.51) | 60.87% ( 1.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wolfsburg | Draw | Mainz 05 |
| 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 8.16% ( 0.44)2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 5.08% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.34% Total : 44.84% | 1-1 @ 11.03% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 6.2% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.35)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 7.45% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.63% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.79% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.08)2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.42% Total : 31.24% |
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