Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 61.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Nuremberg had a probability of 17.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Nuremberg win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.