Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 66.09%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 14.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.8%), while for a Holstein Kiel win it was 1-2 (4.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.
