SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Dynamo Dresden | 34 | -13 | 32 |
| 17 | Erzgebirge Aue | 34 | -40 | 26 |
| 18 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 34 | -35 | 21 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Schalke 04 | 34 | 28 | 65 |
| 2 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 22 | 63 |
| 3 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 32 | 60 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 64.26%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 16.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.13%) and 0-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a Erzgebirge Aue win it was 2-1 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Erzgebirge Aue | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 16.67% | 19.07% | 64.26% |
| Both teams to score 58.89% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.77% | 35.23% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.75% | 57.25% |
| Erzgebirge Aue Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.71% | 34.29% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.01% | 70.99% |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.62% | 10.38% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 66.11% | 33.89% |
| Score Analysis |
| Erzgebirge Aue | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 2-1 @ 4.62% 1-0 @ 3.81% 2-0 @ 2.04% 3-2 @ 1.87% 3-1 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.69% Total : 16.67% | 1-1 @ 8.63% 2-2 @ 5.23% 0-0 @ 3.56% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.24% Total : 19.07% | 1-2 @ 9.78% 0-2 @ 9.13% 0-1 @ 8.06% 1-3 @ 7.38% 0-3 @ 6.9% 1-4 @ 4.18% 2-3 @ 3.95% 0-4 @ 3.91% 2-4 @ 2.24% 1-5 @ 1.9% 0-5 @ 1.77% 2-5 @ 1.01% Other @ 4.06% Total : 64.26% |
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