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DFB-Pokal | First Round
Aug 13, 2023 at 2.30pm UK
Vohlin-Stadion
FD

FV Illertissen
1 - 3
Dusseldorf

Frisorger (41')
Neuberger (22'), Thiel (68')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Frisorger (3' og.), Vermeij (27'), Tzolis (90+1')
Hoffmann (45+1'), Vermeij (45+1')
Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between FV Illertissen and Fortuna Dusseldorf.

Form, Standings, Stats

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Last Game: FV Illertissen 0-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, July 30 at 2.31pm in DFB-Pokal
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Last Game: St Pauli 0-0 Dusseldorf
Saturday, August 5 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortuna Dusseldorf win with a probability of 80.69%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for FV Illertissen had a probability of 6.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.8%) and 1-2 (8.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.85%), while for a FV Illertissen win it was 2-1 (2.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fortuna Dusseldorf would win this match.

Result
FV IllertissenDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
6.81% (0.019 0.02) 12.49% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 80.69% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Both teams to score 48.51% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.95% (0.063999999999993 0.06)31.04% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.56% (0.076000000000001 0.08)52.44% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
FV Illertissen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.54% (0.103 0.1)48.45% (-0.102 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.44% (0.076999999999998 0.08)83.56% (-0.074999999999989 -0.07)
Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.11% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)5.89% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
77.44% (0.022999999999996 0.02)22.56% (-0.020999999999997 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    FV Illertissen 6.81%
    Fortuna Dusseldorf 80.69%
    Draw 12.49%
FV IllertissenDrawFortuna Dusseldorf
2-1 @ 2.12% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 2.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 6.81%
1-1 @ 5.85%
2-2 @ 3% (0.01 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.85% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 12.49%
0-2 @ 11.44% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
0-3 @ 10.8% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.29% (0.0029999999999983 0)
0-1 @ 8.08% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-3 @ 7.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-4 @ 7.65% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-4 @ 5.54% (0.008 0.01)
0-5 @ 4.33% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-5 @ 3.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.84% (0.011 0.01)
0-6 @ 2.05% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-4 @ 2.01% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-6 @ 1.48% (0.0029999999999999 0)
2-5 @ 1.14% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 4.08%
Total : 80.69%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: FV Illertissen 0-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, July 30 at 2.31pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: FV Illertissen 2-3 Werder Bremen
Sunday, August 17 at 1.30pm in DFB-Pokal
Last Game: St Pauli 0-0 Dusseldorf
Saturday, August 5 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Dusseldorf 1-0 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, July 29 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Kaiserslautern 0-3 Dusseldorf
Sunday, May 28 at 2.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Dusseldorf 3-3 Hannover
Sunday, May 21 at 12.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 0-0 Dusseldorf
Saturday, May 13 at 7.30pm in 2.Bundesliga
Last Game: Dusseldorf 3-0 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, May 6 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga


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