DFB-Pokal | First Round

Aug 12, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Heidewaldstadion

Gutersloh
0 - 2
Holstein Kiel

Freiberger (78'), Twardzik (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Fridjonsson (72', 90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the DFB-Pokal First Round clash between Gutersloh and Holstein Kiel.

Form, Standings, Stats

Holstein Kiel

All competitions

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 2-1 Greuther Furth
Saturday, August 5 at 12pm in 2.Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 81.9%. A draw had a probability of 11.3% and a win for Gutersloh had a probability of 6.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 0-3 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.12%) and 1-3 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.96%), while for a Gutersloh win it was 2-1 (2.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Holstein Kiel would win this match.

Result
Gutersloh	Draw	Holstein Kiel
6.82% ( -0.01)	11.28% ( -0.01)	81.9% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 54.83% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

76% (

-0.03)

24% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

56.4% (

-0.04)

43.6% (

0.05)

Gutersloh Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.33% (

-0.07)

42.67% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.99% (

-0.06)

79.01% (

0.07)

Holstein Kiel Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.65% (

4.35% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

82.01% (

-0.01)

17.98% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Gutersloh 6.82%

Holstein Kiel 81.9%

Draw 11.28%

Gutersloh	Draw	Holstein Kiel
2-1 @ 2.11% ( -0) 1-0 @ 1.58% 3-2 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.19% Total : 6.82%	1-1 @ 4.96% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.31% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.86% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 11.28%	0-3 @ 9.53% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.12% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 8.12% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0) 0-4 @ 7.47% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 6.36% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 4.69% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 3.99% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.46% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 2.71% ( -0.01) 0-6 @ 2.45% ( 0) 1-6 @ 2.09% ( -0) 2-5 @ 1.7% ( -0) 0-7 @ 1.1% ( 0) 1-7 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 4.6% Total : 81.9%