Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 43.49%. A win for Greuther Furth had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Greuther Furth win was 1-2 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Holstein Kiel in this match.
-2.5) 
0.35) 
