Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Karlsruher SC had a probability of 34.76% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.94%) and 2-0 (5.36%). The likeliest Karlsruher SC win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Holstein Kiel in this match.