Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Hannover had a probability of 30.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Hannover win was 1-2 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.