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2.Bundesliga | Gameweek 1
Jul 25, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
Millerntor-Stadion

St Pauli
3 - 0
Holstein Kiel

Paqarada (11'), Kyereh (62'), Burgstaller (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Muhling (39')
Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between St Pauli and Holstein Kiel.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 35.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
St PauliDrawHolstein Kiel
35.19%25.64%39.17%
Both teams to score 55.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.31%48.68%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.2%70.8%
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.29%26.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.04%61.96%
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.52%24.48%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.07%58.93%
Score Analysis
    St Pauli 35.19%
    Holstein Kiel 39.17%
    Draw 25.63%
St PauliDrawHolstein Kiel
1-0 @ 8.63%
2-1 @ 8.02%
2-0 @ 5.7%
3-1 @ 3.53%
3-0 @ 2.51%
3-2 @ 2.48%
4-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 35.19%
1-1 @ 12.14%
0-0 @ 6.54%
2-2 @ 5.64%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.63%
0-1 @ 9.2%
1-2 @ 8.55%
0-2 @ 6.47%
1-3 @ 4.01%
0-3 @ 3.04%
2-3 @ 2.65%
1-4 @ 1.41%
0-4 @ 1.07%
2-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 39.17%

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