Erzgebirge Aue
0 - 0
St Pauli

Carlson (30')

Medic (8'), Smith (73')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Match Stats

Player Stats

Coverage of the 2.Bundesliga clash between Erzgebirge Aue and St Pauli.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Pauli win with a probability of 40.05%. A win for Erzgebirge Aue had a probability of 34.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Pauli win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.66%) and 0-2 (6.59%). The likeliest Erzgebirge Aue win was 1-0 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Erzgebirge Aue	Draw	St Pauli
34.46%	25.49%	40.05%

Both teams to score 55.75%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.88%

48.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.72%

70.28%

Erzgebirge Aue Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.14%

26.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.83%

62.17%

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.23%

23.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.08%

57.92%

Score Analysis

Erzgebirge Aue 34.46%

St Pauli 40.05%

Draw 25.48%

Erzgebirge Aue	Draw	St Pauli
1-0 @ 8.39% 2-1 @ 7.93% 2-0 @ 5.52% 3-1 @ 3.47% 3-2 @ 2.49% 3-0 @ 2.42% 4-1 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.1% Total : 34.46%	1-1 @ 12.05% 0-0 @ 6.39% 2-2 @ 5.69% 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.48%	0-1 @ 9.17% 1-2 @ 8.66% 0-2 @ 6.59% 1-3 @ 4.15% 0-3 @ 3.16% 2-3 @ 2.73% 1-4 @ 1.49% 0-4 @ 1.13% 2-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.99% Total : 40.05%