Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 93.67%. A draw had a probability of 4.5% and a win for Schott Mainz had a probability of 1.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-4 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.84%) and 0-5 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2%), while for a Schott Mainz win it was 2-1 (0.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.