Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 47.36%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.16%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 2-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Chelsea | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
30.6% (![]() | 22.04% (![]() | 47.36% (![]() |
Both teams to score 66.67% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.82% (![]() | 33.18% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.07% (![]() | 54.93% (![]() |
Chelsea Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.06% (![]() | 21.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.78% (![]() | 55.22% (![]() |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.41% (![]() | 14.59% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.33% (![]() | 42.67% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chelsea | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 7.09% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.86% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 3.68% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.45% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.86% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.31% ( ![]() Other @ 3.41% Total : 30.6% | 1-1 @ 9.35% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.82% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.21% ( ![]() Other @ 0.46% Total : 22.04% | 1-2 @ 9% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.16% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.93% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.77% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.38% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.81% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.78% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.11% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.83% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.07% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.07% ( ![]() Other @ 3.48% Total : 47.36% |
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