SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 70.25%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for SSV Ulm had a probability of 13.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.3%) and 1-3 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.9%), while for a SSV Ulm win it was 2-1 (3.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| SSV Ulm | Draw | Bayern Munich |
13.53% ( 0.01) | 16.22% ( 0.01) | 70.25% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.89% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.09% ( -0.01) | 27.92% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.37% ( -0.01) | 48.64% ( 0.02) |
| SSV Ulm Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.64% | 33.36% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.02% | 69.98% ( 0) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.86% ( -0) | 7.14% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.02% ( -0.01) | 25.99% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| SSV Ulm | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 3.79% ( 0) 1-0 @ 2.62% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.83% 2-0 @ 1.44% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 13.53% | 1-1 @ 6.9% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0)0-0 @ 2.38% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.33% Total : 16.22% | 1-2 @ 9.11% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.3% ( 0)1-3 @ 8.01% ( -0)0-3 @ 7.3% ( -0)0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0)1-4 @ 5.29% ( -0)0-4 @ 4.82% ( -0)2-3 @ 4.4% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.9% ( -0)1-5 @ 2.79% ( -0)0-5 @ 2.54% ( -0)2-5 @ 1.53% ( -0)1-6 @ 1.23% ( -0)0-6 @ 1.12% ( -0)3-4 @ 1.06% ( -0)Other @ 3.57% Total : 70.25% |
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