SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.99%) and 2-3 (5.69%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Bayern Munich |
30.51% ( -2.42) | 19.26% ( -0.06) | 50.23% ( 2.49) |
| Both teams to score 77.54% ( -1.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 80.63% ( -0.94) | 19.37% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 62.81% ( -1.36) | 37.19% ( 1.37) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85% ( -1.49) | 15% ( 1.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.55% ( -2.9) | 43.45% ( 2.9) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.22% ( 0.25) | 8.78% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.85% ( 0.58) | 30.15% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.28)3-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.27)1-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 2.37% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.26)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.23)4-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.19)3-0 @ 1.5% ( -0.13)Other @ 4.75% Total : 30.51% | 2-2 @ 7.01% ( -0.05) 1-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.18)0-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.1)4-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.26% | 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.33) 1-3 @ 5.99% ( 0.33)2-3 @ 5.69% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.37)1-4 @ 3.65% ( 0.24)2-4 @ 3.46% ( 0.05)0-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.27)0-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.33)3-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.09)0-4 @ 1.92% ( 0.22)1-5 @ 1.77% ( 0.14)2-5 @ 1.68% ( 0.04)3-5 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 0.93% ( 0.12)Other @ 4.24% Total : 50.23% |
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