Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 71.96%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 12.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 3-1 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Wolfsburg |
71.96% ( 0.02) | 15.71% ( -0.01) | 12.33% ( -0.01) |
Both teams to score 60.06% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
71.51% ( 0) | 28.48% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
50.66% ( 0) | 49.34% ( -0.01) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
93.05% ( 0) | 6.95% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.52% ( 0.01) | 25.48% ( -0.01) |
Wolfsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.55% ( -0.02) | 35.45% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.79% ( -0.02) | 72.21% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Wolfsburg |
2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0) 3-1 @ 8.07% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.78% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.57% 4-1 @ 5.38% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.19% ( 0) 3-2 @ 4.19% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.87% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.79% 5-0 @ 2.77% ( 0) 5-2 @ 1.49% 6-1 @ 1.28% ( 0) 6-0 @ 1.23% ( 0) 4-3 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.55% Total : 71.96% | 1-1 @ 6.81% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.46% 3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 15.71% | 1-2 @ 3.53% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.56% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.33% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 12.33% |
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