Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Viktoria Koln had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Viktoria Koln win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
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