SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 37.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.81%) and 0-2 (5.79%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | FC Koln |
37.22% ( -0.17) | 24.56% ( -0.01) | 38.21% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 59.36% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.4% ( 0.07) | 43.6% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34% ( 0.07) | 65.99% ( -0.06) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.79% ( -0.06) | 23.21% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.89% ( -0.09) | 57.11% ( 0.09) |
| FC Koln Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.3% ( 0.13) | 22.7% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.64% ( 0.19) | 56.36% ( -0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | FC Koln |
| 2-1 @ 8.33% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.7% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.62% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 4.06% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.01% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0)4-0 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 37.22% | 1-1 @ 11.41% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.27% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 8.46% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.81% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 38.21% |
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