SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Schalke 04 win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 37.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Schalke 04 win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (5.42%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Schalke 04 in this match.
| Result | ||
| Schalke 04 | Draw | Werder Bremen |
38.67% ( -0.33) | 23.68% ( -0.29) | 37.65% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 62.71% ( 1.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.74% ( 1.46) | 39.26% ( -1.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.41% ( 1.52) | 61.59% ( -1.52) |
| Schalke 04 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.44% ( 0.48) | 20.56% ( -0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.91% ( 0.76) | 53.08% ( -0.76) |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.94% ( 0.96) | 21.05% ( -0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.14% ( 1.47) | 53.85% ( -1.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Schalke 04 | Draw | Werder Bremen |
| 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.37)2-0 @ 5.42% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 4.45% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 38.67% | 1-1 @ 10.66% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( 0.13)0-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.31)3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.67% | 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.27)0-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.16)0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 1.33% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.81% Total : 37.65% |
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