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Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
May 6, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Weserstadion
BL

Werder Bremen
1 - 2
Bayern

Schmidt (87')
Pieper (20'), Friedl (31')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Gnabry (62'), Sane (72')
Cancelo (16')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Schalke 2-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 1-3 Bayern Munich

While Werder will be keen to make one final push to secure their Bundesliga status, Bayern are hoping to build on last weekend's victory and end the season strongly as they bid to fend off competition from Dortmund for the title. Considering the visitors' exceptional record against the hosts, we can see Tuchel's men outscoring their opponents and extending their lead at the summit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.79%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 15.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.81%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.22%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.

Result
Werder BremenDrawBayern Munich
15.9% (0.052000000000001 0.05) 17.3% (0.117 0.12) 66.79% (-0.178 -0.18)
Both teams to score 64.06% (-0.37 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.03% (-0.501 -0.5)27.96% (0.491 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.3% (-0.623 -0.62)48.7% (0.613 0.61)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.5% (-0.27800000000001 -0.28)30.49% (0.269 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.29% (-0.328 -0.33)66.71% (0.31699999999999 0.32)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.16% (-0.17299999999999 -0.17)7.83% (0.162 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
72.21% (-0.42400000000001 -0.42)27.78% (0.413 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 15.9%
    Bayern Munich 66.79%
    Draw 17.3%
Werder BremenDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 4.29% (0.028 0.03)
1-0 @ 2.84% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-1 @ 1.7% (-0.002 -0)
2-0 @ 1.68% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 15.9%
1-1 @ 7.22% (0.101 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 2.39% (0.07 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.84% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 0.39%
Total : 17.3%
1-2 @ 9.2% (0.055 0.05)
1-3 @ 7.81% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-2 @ 7.75% (0.103 0.1)
0-3 @ 6.58% (0.034 0.03)
0-1 @ 6.08% (0.13 0.13)
1-4 @ 4.97% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-3 @ 4.64% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-4 @ 4.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-4 @ 2.95% (-0.053 -0.05)
1-5 @ 2.53% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-5 @ 2.13% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-5 @ 1.5% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-4 @ 1.17% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-6 @ 1.08% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-6 @ 0.91% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 66.79%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Schalke 2-1 Werder Bremen
Saturday, April 29 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hertha Berlin 2-4 Werder Bremen
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Freiburg
Sunday, April 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 2-2 Werder Bremen
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-2 Hoffenheim
Sunday, April 2 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 2-2 Werder Bremen
Friday, March 17 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 2-0 Hertha Berlin
Sunday, April 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Mainz 3-1 Bayern
Saturday, April 22 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-1 Man City
Wednesday, April 19 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bayern 1-1 Hoffenheim
Saturday, April 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Man City 3-0 Bayern
Tuesday, April 11 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Freiburg 0-1 Bayern
Saturday, April 8 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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