Heidenheim are entering this competition after arguably the best season in their history and a very impressive pre-season. We expect the visitors to wrap this one up fairly comfortably.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 85.97%. A draw had a probability of 9.6% and a win for Villingen had a probability of 4.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 0-4 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.5%), while for a Villingen win it was 2-1 (1.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
0.74) 
-1.57) 
