While Heidenheim could overtake Freiburg with a win this weekend, the spoils could be shared at the Europa-Park-Stadion, with Schmidt's men continuing a decent road run that has seen them lose once in nine away games. Five of those nine matches have been tied, and another draw could be in the offing on Saturday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 43.72%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 33.06% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.01%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
0.05) 
-0.01) 
