Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 75.83%. A draw had a probability of 13.9% and a win for Normannia Gmund had a probability of 10.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 3-1 (8.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.81%), while for a Normannia Gmund win it was 1-2 (2.98%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
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