Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Emmen win with a probability of 45.78%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Emmen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.97%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Emmen in this match.