Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 52.52%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 21.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for an ADO Den Haag win it was 0-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
