Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong Ajax win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.66%) and 1-3 (5.4%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.