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AD
Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 20
Dec 17, 2021 at 7pm UK
 
NB

ADO Den Haag
4 - 1
NAC Breda

Verheydt (11', 53' pen.), Bourard (59', 87')
Janmaat (30'), Mulder (47'), Matthys (49')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Haye (36')
Rutten (52'), Haye (59'), Olij (69')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between ADO Den Haag and NAC Breda.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 50.81%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.52%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.

Result
ADO Den HaagDrawNAC Breda
50.81%21.68%27.5%
Both teams to score 65.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.45%33.55%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.64%55.36%
ADO Den Haag Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.4%13.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.27%40.72%
NAC Breda Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.98%24.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.73%58.27%
Score Analysis
    ADO Den Haag 50.81%
    NAC Breda 27.5%
    Draw 21.68%
ADO Den HaagDrawNAC Breda
2-1 @ 9.27%
1-0 @ 6.52%
2-0 @ 6.5%
3-1 @ 6.17%
3-2 @ 4.4%
3-0 @ 4.32%
4-1 @ 3.08%
4-2 @ 2.2%
4-0 @ 2.16%
5-1 @ 1.23%
4-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.93%
Total : 50.81%
1-1 @ 9.29%
2-2 @ 6.61%
0-0 @ 3.27%
3-3 @ 2.09%
Other @ 0.42%
Total : 21.68%
1-2 @ 6.63%
0-1 @ 4.66%
0-2 @ 3.32%
1-3 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 3.15%
0-3 @ 1.58%
1-4 @ 1.12%
2-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 27.5%

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