SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 50.81%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.52%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (6.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.
| Result | ||
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 50.81% | 21.68% | 27.5% |
| Both teams to score 65.65% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.45% | 33.55% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.64% | 55.36% |
| ADO Den Haag Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.4% | 13.6% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.27% | 40.72% |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.98% | 24.02% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.73% | 58.27% |
| Score Analysis |
| ADO Den Haag | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 9.27% 1-0 @ 6.52% 2-0 @ 6.5% 3-1 @ 6.17% 3-2 @ 4.4% 3-0 @ 4.32% 4-1 @ 3.08% 4-2 @ 2.2% 4-0 @ 2.16% 5-1 @ 1.23% 4-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.93% Total : 50.81% | 1-1 @ 9.29% 2-2 @ 6.61% 0-0 @ 3.27% 3-3 @ 2.09% Other @ 0.42% Total : 21.68% | 1-2 @ 6.63% 0-1 @ 4.66% 0-2 @ 3.32% 1-3 @ 3.15% 2-3 @ 3.15% 0-3 @ 1.58% 1-4 @ 1.12% 2-4 @ 1.12% Other @ 2.77% Total : 27.5% |
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