Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 58.59%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Jong AZ had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 1-0 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for a Jong AZ win it was 1-2 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.
