Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 48.41%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Telstar win was 2-1 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.