Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 37.8%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
