SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 56.35%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 22.52% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.85%) and 1-0 (7.62%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
56.35% ( 0.09) | 21.13% ( -0.02) | 22.52% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 61.94% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64% ( 0.01) | 36% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.91% ( 0.01) | 58.09% ( -0.01) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.25% ( 0.03) | 12.75% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61% ( 0.06) | 39% ( -0.06) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.98% ( -0.05) | 29.02% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.08% ( -0.06) | 64.92% ( 0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.85% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.62% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.13% 4-1 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.78% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 2.12% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 4.1% Total : 56.35% | 1-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.7% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.7% ( -0)Other @ 0.3% Total : 21.13% | 1-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.58% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 22.52% |
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