Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 43.6%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.19%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.
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