SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Jong AZ win with a probability of 50.79%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 22.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Jong AZ win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.13%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong AZ | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
50.79% ( -0.83) | 22.1% ( 0.09) | 27.11% ( 0.73) |
| Both teams to score 63.71% ( 0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.05% ( 0.18) | 35.94% ( -0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.96% ( 0.2) | 58.03% ( -0.2) |
| Jong AZ Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.55% ( -0.21) | 14.45% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.59% ( -0.4) | 42.41% ( 0.4) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.48% ( 0.6) | 25.52% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.62% ( 0.82) | 60.37% ( -0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong AZ | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 6.9% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.14)3-2 @ 4.15% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.51% Total : 50.79% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 3.69% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.1% | 1-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 5.04% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.11)2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0.08)0-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.07)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.42% Total : 27.11% |
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