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Eerste Divisie | Gameweek 5
Sep 6, 2024 at 7pm UK
Stadion De Vijverberg

De Graafschap
2 - 0
FC Eindhoven

van Gilst (24'), Brittijn (85')
van Gilst (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Douglas (90'), Warmerdam (90+2')
Coverage of the Eerste Divisie clash between De Graafschap and FC Eindhoven.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roda JC 1-4 De Graafschap
Sunday, September 1 at 3.45pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Vitesse 1-1 FC Eindhoven
Friday, August 30 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 55.96%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 22.72% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.9%) and 1-0 (7.77%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.

Result
De GraafschapDrawFC Eindhoven
55.96% (0.273 0.27) 21.32% (-0.198 -0.2) 22.72% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)
Both teams to score 61.54% (0.626 0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.36% (0.863 0.86)36.63% (-0.859 -0.86)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.21% (0.933 0.93)58.79% (-0.928 -0.93)
De Graafschap Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.93% (0.372 0.37)13.07% (-0.365 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.34% (0.744 0.74)39.66% (-0.739 -0.74)
FC Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.79% (0.422 0.42)29.21% (-0.418 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.85% (0.516 0.52)65.15% (-0.511 -0.51)
Score Analysis
    De Graafschap 55.97%
    FC Eindhoven 22.72%
    Draw 21.32%
De GraafschapDrawFC Eindhoven
2-1 @ 9.73% (-0.028 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.9% (-0.115 -0.12)
1-0 @ 7.77% (-0.222 -0.22)
3-1 @ 6.6% (0.071 0.07)
3-0 @ 5.36% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-2 @ 4.06% (0.089999999999999 0.09)
4-1 @ 3.36% (0.081 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.73% (0.035 0.03)
4-2 @ 2.07% (0.074 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.37% (0.051 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.11% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 55.97%
1-1 @ 9.56% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.052 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.82% (-0.163 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.67% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.32%
1-2 @ 5.88% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-1 @ 4.7% (-0.145 -0.15)
0-2 @ 2.89% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.05 0.05)
1-3 @ 2.41% (0.016 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 22.72%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Roda JC 1-4 De Graafschap
Sunday, September 1 at 3.45pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: De Graafschap 2-2 Jong Utrecht
Friday, August 23 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Excelsior 3-1 De Graafschap
Friday, August 16 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: De Graafschap 4-3 Volendam
Sunday, August 11 at 3.45pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Sittard 2-3 De Graafschap
Friday, August 2 at 5.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: De Graafschap 0-1 Verl
Saturday, July 27 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Vitesse 1-1 FC Eindhoven
Friday, August 30 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: FC Eindhoven 0-3 Jong Ajax
Saturday, August 24 at 3.30pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Telstar 0-3 FC Eindhoven
Friday, August 16 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: FC Eindhoven 2-0 Den Bosch
Friday, August 9 at 7pm in Eerste Divisie
Last Game: Venray 0-4 FC Eindhoven
Saturday, August 3 at 1pm in Club Friendlies 3
Last Game: Lierse Kempenzonen 4-1 FC Eindhoven
Friday, August 2 at 6pm in Club Friendlies 3


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