SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a De Graafschap win with a probability of 55.96%. A win for FC Eindhoven had a probability of 22.72% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a De Graafschap win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.9%) and 1-0 (7.77%). The likeliest FC Eindhoven win was 1-2 (5.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that De Graafschap would win this match.
| Result | ||
| De Graafschap | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
55.96% ( 0.27) | 21.32% ( -0.2) | 22.72% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 61.54% ( 0.63) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.36% ( 0.86) | 36.63% ( -0.86) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.21% ( 0.93) | 58.79% ( -0.93) |
| De Graafschap Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.93% ( 0.37) | 13.07% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.34% ( 0.74) | 39.66% ( -0.74) |
| FC Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.79% ( 0.42) | 29.21% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.85% ( 0.52) | 65.15% ( -0.51) |
| Score Analysis |
| De Graafschap | Draw | FC Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 9.73% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( -0.12)1-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 6.6% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 5.36% ( -0)3-2 @ 4.06% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.07)5-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.05)5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.92% Total : 55.97% | 1-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.16) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 3.82% ( -0.16)3-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.32% | 1-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.7% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.19% Total : 22.72% |
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