Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 69.73%. A draw had a probability of 16.4% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 13.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.3%) and 3-1 (7.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 1-2 (3.86%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cambuur would win this match.
