Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 51.06%. A win for Jong PSV had a probability of 26.95% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.04%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Jong PSV win was 2-1 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Almere City in this match.
