SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NAC Breda win with a probability of 59.4%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Jong PSV had a probability of 19.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a NAC Breda win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.11%), while for a Jong PSV win it was 2-1 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Jong PSV | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 19.08% | 21.51% | 59.4% |
| Both teams to score 55.02% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.43% | 42.57% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.02% | 64.97% |
| Jong PSV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.96% | 36.04% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 27.18% | 72.81% |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.03% | 13.97% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.53% | 41.46% |
| Score Analysis |
| Jong PSV | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 5.16% 1-0 @ 5.14% 2-0 @ 2.62% 3-1 @ 1.76% 3-2 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.68% Total : 19.08% | 1-1 @ 10.11% 2-2 @ 5.08% 0-0 @ 5.03% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.51% | 1-2 @ 9.95% 0-1 @ 9.91% 0-2 @ 9.75% 1-3 @ 6.53% 0-3 @ 6.4% 2-3 @ 3.33% 1-4 @ 3.21% 0-4 @ 3.15% 2-4 @ 1.64% 1-5 @ 1.27% 0-5 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.02% Total : 59.4% |
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