Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a ADO Den Haag win with a probability of 48.99%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 27.11% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 2-1 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that ADO Den Haag would win this match.