Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for ADO Den Haag had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.19%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest ADO Den Haag win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.
