Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roda JC win with a probability of 63.29%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 17.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roda JC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.48%) and 1-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 1-2 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roda JC would win this match.