Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almere City win with a probability of 49.3%. A win for Den Bosch had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almere City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.39%) and 0-2 (6.89%). The likeliest Den Bosch win was 2-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
